Get the Best Picks for College Basketball Predictions!

Get the Best Picks for College Basketball Predictions!

Table of Contents

1. Introduction
2. Picks with the Professor
3. College Basketball Edition
4. Thursday, December 7th Games
5. The Importance of Preseason Games
6. The Impact of Conference Games
7. Iowa vs Iowa State: A Rivalry Game
8. Analyzing Iowa's Offense and Iowa State's Defense
9. Betting Strategy and Confidence in Picks
10. The Challenges of Betting on Road Games
11. The Value of Fading Iowa on the Road
12. The Little Rock vs Central Arkansas Matchup
13. Analyzing the Pace and Offenses of Both Teams
14. Under Betting Strategy and Confidence in Pick
15. The IUPUI vs Eastern Illinois Matchup
16. Evaluating the Quality of Both Teams
17. Under Betting Strategy and Confidence in Pick
18. Conclusion

"Picks with the Professor: College Basketball Edition"

Welcome to Picks with the Professor, College Basketball Edition! In this episode, we will be reviewing the Thursday, December 7th games and discussing our top picks. The schedule for the day is limited, but we have still managed to find some intriguing matchups.

Introduction

December is a transitional period in college basketball, with teams coming off preseason conference games and tournaments and gearing up for the start of conference play. This often results in a lighter schedule and some less appealing matchups. However, we have scoured the games to bring You our analysis and picks for the best games of the night. So let's dive in!

Thursday, December 7th Games

There are five games on tap for Thursday, December 7th. While the slate may not be as enticing as some other days, we have managed to identify three picks from these games. Additionally, we have a couple of other grade-A picks that we will not be discussing on the Show but are available over at Dub Club. So, without further ado, let's get into the games.

The Importance of Preseason Games

After the preseason conference games and tournaments, teams often have a brief respite to rest or schedule some easier matchups. This is especially true for the smaller schools, who use these games as warm-ups. While the quality of play in these games may not be the highest, they still provide opportunities for bettors to find value.

The Impact of Conference Games

When it comes to college basketball, conference games hold a special significance. Teams often perform differently in conference play compared to non-conference games. Factors such as rivalries, familiarity, and playing styles can all impact the outcome. In our analysis, we take these factors into account to provide the most accurate picks.

Iowa vs Iowa State: A Rivalry Game

One of the standout matchups for the night is the Iowa vs Iowa State game. This is a classic rivalry matchup that is always highly anticipated. Both teams have a history of performing well in their respective conferences, but they also have their weaknesses. We will analyze both teams' strengths and weaknesses to determine the likely outcome of this game.

Analyzing Iowa's Offense and Iowa State's Defense

When evaluating a game like Iowa vs Iowa State, it is essential to assess each team's offense and defense. Iowa has a tendency to score in threes, whether it is in basketball or football. Their offense has been inconsistent, while their defense has not performed up to power five standards. On the other HAND, Iowa State's defense is strong, making this a compelling strength-on-strength matchup.

Betting Strategy and Confidence in Picks

Our picks are Based on a calibrated model that has historically been successful in predicting game outcomes. When we give a team a 76% chance of winning, it means that betting on them would be a profitable investment in the long run. We expect to win three out of four picks at this price, with the winnings offsetting the losses. It is important to understand the long-term profitability of our picks and have confidence in the process.

The Challenges of Betting on Road Games

Betting on road games can be tricky, as teams often perform differently away from home. Iowa, in particular, has struggled on the road in both football and basketball in recent years. Their performance in conference road games has been less than stellar, making it difficult to back them as a bettor. We explain why we have found value in fading Iowa on the road.

The Value of Fading Iowa on the Road

Considering Iowa's struggles on the road, there is value in betting against them when they are away from home. Their offense has been inconsistent, and their defense has not held up to power five standards. When sideline ratings indicate value in fading Iowa, it is often a smart bet to make. We analyze the factors contributing to their road struggles and explain why we lean towards Iowa State in this matchup.

The Little Rock vs Central Arkansas Matchup

While not the most appealing game on the schedule, the Little Rock vs Central Arkansas matchup presents an opportunity for value betting. Little Rock has a faster pace and a better offense than Central Arkansas, who have struggled this season. We evaluate the strengths and weaknesses of both teams to determine the likely outcome and provide our pick.

Under Betting Strategy and Confidence in Pick

In games with weaker teams and lower quality basketball, the under bet can often be a smart strategy. Both Little Rock and Central Arkansas have limitations on offense, and their low ratings suggest a lower-scoring game. We explain the rationale behind our under pick and the confidence we have in its potential profitability.

The IUPUI vs Eastern Illinois Matchup

The IUPUI vs Eastern Illinois matchup is one of the lowest-rated games on the schedule. Both teams have struggled this season, with IUPUI's offense facing a tough test against Eastern Illinois' defense. We analyze the pace and offenses of both teams to determine the likelihood of a low-scoring game and provide our pick.

Under Betting Strategy and Confidence in Pick

With a low-rated matchup like IUPUI vs Eastern Illinois, the under bet becomes appealing. Both teams have inefficient offenses, setting the stage for a low-scoring affair. We explain why we believe the total points will fall below the set line and express our confidence in this under pick.

Conclusion

While the Thursday, December 7th college basketball slate may not be the most exciting, we have managed to find value and provide our picks for the best games of the night. By analyzing each matchup, considering team strengths and weaknesses, and utilizing our calibrated model, we believe these picks have a high probability of success. Remember to join us on Dub Club for additional grade-A picks and a $5 discount on your first month.