Unveiling the Diplomatic Tango

Unveiling the Diplomatic Tango

Table of Contents:

1. Introduction
2. Background of Greek-Turkish relations
3. Expectations for the upcoming visit
4. Optimism and cautiousness in the dialogue
5. Areas of cooperation between Greece and Turkey
6. Controversial issues and differences between the two countries
7. The Cyprus issue and its impact on the dialogue
8. Broad support for the policy of dialogue
9. Strategic shift in Turkey's foreign policy
10. Advantages and rewards of a Greek-Turkish Detente
11. Differences in policy towards international conflicts
12. Traps and challenges to watch out for
13. Conclusion

Introduction

The imminent visit by Turkish President Erdogan to neighboring Greece has generated widespread anticipation and interest. This visit holds significance as it brings together two NATO members with a checkered history of relations. The purpose of this article is to explore the expectations and potential outcomes of this visit, analyze the Current state of Greek-Turkish relations, and discuss the prospects for a detente between the two countries. By delving into various aspects such as areas of cooperation, controversial issues, and the role of international stakeholders, we aim to provide a comprehensive analysis of this important diplomatic development.

Background of Greek-Turkish relations

Greek-Turkish relations have been marked by tensions and hostilities in the past. However, recent developments indicate a shift towards dialogue and cooperation. In the past year, both governments have emphasized their intention to open a new chapter in bilateral relations. While the prospect of improved relations is met with cautious optimism, it signifies a game-changing shift considering Erdogan's previous hostility towards Greece. This change in approach is primarily driven by the realization that the confrontational stance did not yield positive results domestically or internationally.

Expectations for the upcoming visit

The upcoming visit between President Erdogan and Greek Prime Minister Mitsotakis raises expectations for progress in Greek-Turkish relations. The overall Sense of optimism Stems from the intention of both governments to improve the bilateral climate and cooperate in areas of mutual interest. This visit is likely to focus on practical and non-controversial issues such as economic cooperation, tourism, and cultural affairs. However, it is important to acknowledge the existence of highly contentious topics such as the borders in the Aegean, the continental shelf, and the exclusive economic zone. Resolving these fundamental differences in a short period is unlikely, highlighting the complexity of the situation.

Optimism and cautiousness in the dialogue

While there is a sense of optimism surrounding the ongoing dialogue between Greece and Turkey, caution is also exercised due to the long-standing challenges and fundamental differences. The improved climate and economic cooperation form positive aspects of the dialogue. However, contentious issues such as the Cyprus issue loom in the background. It is crucial to recognize that the process of dialogue does not disregard the existence of disagreements but rather seeks to find common ground while managing differences. Pragmatism and realistic expectations are vital elements to ensure the sustainability and success of the dialogue.

Areas of cooperation between Greece and Turkey

The dialogue between Greece and Turkey aims to foster cooperation in various areas, including tourism, economic development, cultural exchanges, and soft power initiatives. Both governments recognize the benefits of promoting positive engagement in these relatively uncontroversial domains. Enhancing economic ties, facilitating tourism, and promoting cultural exchanges can contribute to the overall stability and prosperity of the region. By focusing on practical areas of cooperation, Greece and Turkey hope to build trust and lay the groundwork for further progress in their bilateral relations.

Controversial issues and differences between the two countries

Despite the positive Momentum in Greek-Turkish relations, there are several long-standing controversial issues that remain unresolved. Disputes over the borders in the Aegean, the continental shelf, and the exclusive economic zone Continue to strain the relationship. Moreover, the Cyprus issue represents a significant thorn in the bilateral relations between the two countries. While these controversial issues are not expected to be resolved in the near term, it is important that both sides express their positions clearly to maintain transparency and manage expectations.

The Cyprus issue and its impact on the dialogue

The division of Cyprus remains a contentious issue that adds complexity to Greek-Turkish relations. While an international issue, it is not currently part of the Greek-Turkish dialogue. Both Athens and Ankara have acknowledged the distance between their positions on the Cyprus issue. To maintain focus on the ongoing dialogue, both sides have opted not to discuss Cyprus during this phase. While the differences on the Cyprus issue are significant, they are set aside for the time being to facilitate progress on other fronts.

Broad support for the policy of dialogue

The policy of dialogue between Greece and Turkey enjoys broad support domestically and internationally. The electoral victories of both Greek Prime Minister Mitsotakis and President Erdogan have solidified their positions and created a relatively unopposed environment for pursuing dialogue. In Greece, there is no strong opposition against engaging in dialogue with Turkey. Similarly, recent opinion polls in Turkey indicate a majority of Turkish people support the process of dialogue. Consequently, there is a favorable political landscape for the progression of the dialogue.

Strategic shift in Turkey's foreign policy

The current shift in Turkey's foreign policy towards Greece is not without Precedent. President Erdogan has demonstrated similar strategic shifts in the past due to diminishing returns domestically and internationally. Turkey's path towards political alignment and potential European Union membership now leads through Athens. This change in approach acknowledges the importance of good behavior in the Aegean and Eastern Mediterranean for improved relations with the European Union. By softening its stance towards Greece, Turkey hopes to be rewarded by the European Union.

Advantages and rewards of a Greek-Turkish Detente

A successful Greek-Turkish detente offers numerous advantages and rewards for both countries and the wider region. The immediate outcome of the ongoing dialogue is expected to be an agreement on migration issues. This cooperation is particularly significant for the European Union, as it seeks stability in managing migration flows. Additionally, the improvement in relations between Greece and Turkey will contribute to a more stable climate, which is essential for tourism, foreign relations, and regional stability. In a time of increasing chaos in the Middle East, the Caucasus, and Ukraine, this process of dialogue assumes global importance.

Differences in policy towards international conflicts

Greece and Turkey differ significantly in their foreign policy approaches, particularly concerning international conflicts. While Greece aligns itself fully with Western partners, Turkey has demonstrated more fluid and nuanced positions. This divergence is evident in their respective stances on conflicts such as the Israeli-Hamas war and the situation in Ukraine. Despite these differences, both countries exhibit pragmatism by continuing to pursue their own agenda while simultaneously engaging in the current dialogue process. This approach allows them to manage conflicting interests and work towards common goals.

Traps and challenges to watch out for

While the ongoing dialogue between Greece and Turkey presents an opportunity for progress, there are potential traps and challenges that must be considered. The deep-seated differences on contentious issues could potentially derail the process. It is essential to monitor the commitments made during the visit and ensure they are upheld in the future. The absence of negative surprises during the visit signifies a well-orchestrated diplomatic effort, but sustained efforts and continuous support from all stakeholders are required to maintain the positive momentum.

Conclusion

The visit of President Erdogan to Greece holds the promise of improved Greek-Turkish relations. The cautious optimism surrounding this visit stems from the commitment of both governments to engage in dialogue and cooperation. While there are significant challenges and contentious issues, the strategic shift in Turkey's foreign policy and the broad support for dialogue provide a conducive environment for progress. The ongoing dialogue offers opportunities for cooperation in various practical areas, contributing to stability, trust-building, and regional development. Greece's growing confidence and strong alignment with Western partners position it as a key player in the region. The success of the dialogue will depend on navigating challenges and maintaining a realistic yet optimistic approach.